Issue No: 05/2025

Conflict & Resilience Monitor – 27 June 2025

The Conflict and Resilience Monitor offers monthly blog-size commentary and analysis on the latest conflict-related trends in Africa.

UN Photo/Tim McKulka

This month’s monitor begins with an article from Ambassador Said Djinnit, Dr Ibrahim Assane Mayaki and former SRSG El-Ghassim Wane. In their article they discuss the lessons the African Union (AU) can draw from the way the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) responded in 1990 to the end of the Cold War. They argue that the contemporary changes to the global multilateral order presents an opportunity to strengthen African unity and integration, by building on and implementing the policy frameworks already adopted and established by the AU.

Following on, Prof Kwesi Aning writes about the political upheaval in West Africa and the effects this has had on the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Following coups in Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger, and their subsequent suspension from ECOWAS, the leaders of these states decided to withdraw from the bloc to form their own, the Alliance of Sahelian States. Prof Aning’s article discusses the impact this has had on the mandate of ECOWAS and the challenges to regional integration that the region now faces.

Keenan Govender’s article discusses the war economy in Sudan and its contribution to the perpetuation of the conflict. Beyond gold and oil, Sudan also exports large amounts of livestock and gum Arabic, a key ingredient in many products consumed everyday around the world. In his article he argues that the rest of the world, by turning a blind eye to the source of these products, participates in an exercise similar to the exploitation Africa experienced during the colonial period.

Finally, Boikanyo Nkwatle writes about Traorism fever and its impact on democracy in Africa. Captain Ibrahim Traore came to power in Burkina Faso via a coup d’état, but his seemingly effective governance style has earnt him praise from other leaders. However, as the article discusses, it is dangerous to forgo checks and balances of power for more governance efficiency.

Chief Editor: Conflict & Resilience Monitor​
Assistant Editor: Conflict & Resilience Monitor​
UN Photo/Ryan Brown
Leadership

Africa at a Turing Point: Navigating Peril and Seizing Opportunity in a Changing Global Order

  • Ambassador Said Djinnit
  • El-Ghassim Wane
  • Dr Ibrahim Assane Mayaki

In July 1990, nearly thirty-five years ago, Salim Ahmed Salim, then Secretary-General of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), presented a landmark report to the 52nd Ordinary Session of the OAU Council of Ministers entitled ‘The Fundamental Changes Taking Place in the World and Their Consequences for Africa—Proposals for an African Position.’

Read More
Photo Credit: Magharebia
Peace and Security

Tackling West Africa’s VE Crises in a Political and Security Vacuum

  • Kwesi Aning

The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), 50 years after its establishment and its early prominence as a norm entrepreneur, is now facing a crisis. Its frameworks, which once to sought to deepen integration and influence state behaviour are now in tatters, unable to elicit member states’ compliance and resulting in significant security challenges since 2020. Its inability to provide effective leadership in addressing violent extremism in the Sahel has directly contributed to the coups d’etat in Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger—events which have, in turn, been used to justify unconstitutional changes of government.

Read More
Photo Credit: Salahaldeen Nadir/World Bank
Livelihood Insecurity & Economic Impact

Beyond Bullets and Borders: How Livestock and Gum Arabic are Financing Sudan’s War

  • Keenan Govender

In most contemporary discussions on Sudan’s ongoing conflict, international commentary often revolves around diplomatic exclusions, ceasefire negotiations, or the devastating human toll of aerial bombardments and displacement. Much focus is placed on the adage that when the elephants fight, it is the ground below which suffers. What is less discussed, but equally crucial, is the economy of war that thrives in the shadows of Sudan’s ongoing conflict. From livestock herded across frontlines to gum Arabic smuggled into multinational supply chains, the war is being financed not just by gold, oil and foreign backing, but by products we unknowingly use in our everyday lives.

Read More
Photo Credit: kremlin.ru
Governance, Leadership

Traorism Fever and the Crisis of Democratic Governance in Africa

  • Boikanyo Nkwatle

Across Africa, a new political wave is capturing public and media attention, the rise of what can be termed Traorism Fever. Named after Captain Ibrahim Traoré, the military leader of Burkina Faso who seized power in 2022 through a coup d’état, this phenomenon reflects growing public admiration for his unconventional leadership style. Traoré has emerged as a central figure in Africa’s ongoing struggle for economic justice and sovereignty. He champions beneficiation – the local processing of Africa’s raw materials – as a key strategy for reclaiming control over national wealth. Under his leadership, Burkina Faso has begun to assert greater authority over its natural resources, insisting that the benefits of extraction stay within the continent and serve African populations first.

Read More

Do you have information to share?

Does any of this information look incorrect to you, or do you have anything to share from your experience on the ground in an African country?

If so, please complete our contact form – we would love to hear from you!

TRANSLATE THIS PAGE