Issue No: 04/2025

Conflict & Resilience Monitor – 28 May 2025

The Conflict and Resilience Monitor offers monthly blog-size commentary and analysis on the latest conflict-related trends in Africa.

Photo Credit: AMISOM/Ilyas Ahmed

This month’s Monitor begins with a focus on peacekeeping in Africa. Andrea Prah writes about the future of United Nations (UN) peacekeeping following the recently concluded Peacekeeping Ministerial hosted in Germany. Her article looks at the future of peacekeeping in Africa in the light of changes taking place in the global community, regional peace operations and challenges to reform the current multilateral system.

Staying with peacekeeping, Cedric de Coning then writes about the possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine and the peacekeeping experience that Africa can offer.  Before peacekeepers can go in, technical elements of an agreement between the two countries needs to be agreed upon, but African peacekeepers monitoring the agreement may be acceptable to both sides, opening up a role for Africa in the conflict.

The third article in this edition is from Abraham Ename Minko who discusses the African Standby Force (ASF) and its role in the context of the current conflict in Sudan.  The ASF is yet to be deployed and faces numerous challenges, such as insufficient funding and regional economic communities tending to prefer regional interventions instead of those led by the African Union.  This article discusses these challenges as well as the possibility of the ASF playing a role in the ongoing conflict in Sudan.

Finally, Boikanyo Nkwatle writes about electronic voting in South Africa. The Independent Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) is currently exploring the possibility of introducing electronic voting into South Africa’s electoral processes. Boikanyo discusses the benefits and drawbacks of electronic voting, and the process that IEC is currently undertaking to solicit public opinion on the introduction of changes to the current voting system.

Chief Editor: Conflict & Resilience Monitor​
Assistant Editor: Conflict & Resilience Monitor​
Photo Credit: UN/Arne Molfenter
Peacekeeping

The Future of UN Peacekeeping is Tethered to the Debate on UN Reform

  • Andrea Prah

This year, the United Nations (UN) celebrates 80 years of trying to create a safer and more stable world. In reflecting on this grand milestone at the recent UN Peacekeeping Ministerial, UN Secretary-General (UNSG), Antonio Guterres, noted that the UN is operating at a time when it is facing the highest number of conflicts since it was founded. The complexities around managing this conflict landscape are compounded by several factors including an increasingly crowded theatre of war which proffers militarised solutions over political ones, and ongoing humanitarian crises whose social and economic repercussions will persist long after the fighting ceases.  How can UN Peacekeeping adapt to this conflict context?

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Photo Credit: Nikitabuida
Peacekeeping

Will African Peacekeepers Play a Role in Monitoring a Ceasefire Between Russia and Ukraine?

  • Cedric de Coning

Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine about a ceasefire are ongoing, with no agreement in sight yet. However, an exchange of prisoners on 25 May, following the first direct talks in Istanbul on 16 May is a positive confidence building measure. One aspect that has not received a lot of attention yet is how such a ceasefire will be monitored, and who will do the monitoring?

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Photo Credit: ATMIS
Peacekeeping

The African Standby Force’s Deployment Efficiency in Sudan

  • Abraham Ename Minko

The African Standby Force (ASF) was established as a key component of the African Union’s (AU’s) strategy to address conflicts across the continent. Despite over two decades of development, the ASF has yet to be deployed in any mission, highlighting significant challenges in its institutional and operational readiness. The current crisis in Sudan underscores the urgency for the ASF to evolve into a more agile and responsive mechanism capable of addressing complex conflicts across the continent.

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Photo Credit: GCIS
Elections

Insights from the IEC’s Electronic Voting Conference: Exploring the Future of Digital Democracy in South Africa

  • Boikanyo Nkwatle

The Independent Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC) recently hosted a national conference on electronic voting, focusing on the feasibility, sustainability, and policy considerations of introducing e-voting in the country. This discussion comes more than a decade after the IEC first initiated dialogue on the topic in 2013, where a similar conference concluded that South Africa’s current paper-based voting system, often referred to as manual voting, was sufficient for the time being. Twelve years later, the Commission has reconvened stakeholders for further deliberation, following extensive research on electronic voting in collaboration with the Human Sciences Research Council (HSRC). The research, conducted by the HSRC, culminated in a Policy Discussion Document, which the Commission hopes will generate public policy debate on electronic voting (e-voting) technologies and the feasibility of introducing such technologies in South Africa. Reflecting on the importance of this initiative, IEC CEO Mr Sy Mamabolo stated: “It is part of the statutory purview of the Commission to conduct research with a view to improving the quality of elections. We must investigate new approaches to improve the electoral process, voter experience, accessibility, and enable cost savings.”

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