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Issue No: 18/2021

COVID-19 Conflict & Resilience Monitor – 17 June 2021

The Conflict and Resilience Monitor offers monthly blog-size commentary and analysis on the latest conflict-related trends in Africa.

UN Photo/Marco Dormino
UN Photo/Marco Dormino

This week the Monitor features an op-ed from Mohamed Abdi Ware, the former President of HirShabelle State. As a signatory to the 17 September Agreement, H.E Ware reflects on previous attempts to resolve political divisions in Somalia and highlights key challenges to look out for in the implementation of the latest agreement signed on 27 May 2021.

We then turn to Mali, where the country and region are still grappling with the latest coup d’état, with a piece from Boubacar Ba outlining the geopolitical and security dilemma that has been created by the latest developments. This is complimented by a piece from Christian Klatt who provides perspectives on the various reactions to the coup d’état from African and international communities.

Cedric de Coning

Dr. Cedric de Coning

Chief Editor: Conflict & Resilience Monitor​
Andrea Prah

Dr. Andrea Prah

Managing Editor: Conflict & Resilience Monitor
Photo by ANNIE RISEMBERG/AFP via Getty Images
Photo by ANNIE RISEMBERG/AFP via Getty Images
COVID-19, Political Unrest or Violence

How to react to a Coup d’état – Lessons and Warnings from Mali’s recent coup

  • Christian Klatt

On 25 May 2021 Mali saw its second coup within less than a year. The developments in May presented an interruption in Mali’s transitional process that makes a successful transition less likely than ever. Mali is again at a crossroads.

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Photo by MUSTAFA SAEED/AFP via Getty Images
Photo by MUSTAFA SAEED/AFP via Getty Images
COVID-19, Trust between Citizens & Institutions

The May 27 Agreement: Oasis or Mirage?

  • Mohamed Abdi Ware

Somali leaders signed a landmark election agreement on 27 May 2021 in Mogadishu. Almost immediately afterwards a number of friends and constituents called me to ask why it had taken this long; why we had to go to the brink of armed conflict for them to sign, what, essentially, is a recycled version of the 17 September 2020 Agreement and the Baidoa Technical Team recommendations. How, they asked, could we be sure this agreement would not unravel, like so many agreements before it.

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Photo by John Kalapo/Getty Images
Photo by John Kalapo/Getty Images
COVID-19, Political Unrest or Violence

Mali’s Latest Coup d’état – a Geopolitical and Security Dilemma

  • Boubacar Ba

On the afternoon of 24 May 2021, the Malian Transitional President, Bah N’Daw, and his Prime Minister Moctar Ouane were arrested by elements of the Malian Armed Forces and taken to the Soundiata Keïta military camp in Kati. Wild rumours circulated in Bamako.  Finally, the Malians were informed of the events that they have become used to for some time. They were wondering about this umpteenth coup d’état.

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