A masked Sudanese protester rallies outside the army complex in Sudan's capital Khartoum on April 18, 2019 (OZAN KOSE/AFP via Getty Images)

Issue No: 3/2020

Conflict & Resilience Monitor – 6 May 2020

The spread of COVID-19, and the measures taken to contain it, will increase the risk of social unrest and violent conflict

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ACCORD COVID-19 Conflict & Resilience Monitor
References: AfricaCDC, ACLED and African Arguments

In this week’s monitor Nina Wilen explores a number of potential and emerging political and socio-economic consequences linked to the measures taken to contain the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. A number of our contributors note that Africa has introduced containment measures faster than most of their global counterparts, and this seems to have been relatively effective in slowing down the spread of the disease. For example, Judith Mondo notes that Africa has been more resilient to date, than predicted. 

However, the measures also seem to be generating a number of unintended consequences. James Henry Murray and Rumbidzaishe Matambo explores the link between food (in)security, peace and stability and COVID-19. Marisha Ramdeenlooks at the impact of COVID-19 on political tensions and conflict in Africa. Martin Rupiya asks if the measures introduced to contain the pandemic can also generate new opportunites for Africa, and Tarila Marclint Ebiede argues that we should ensure that the coronavirus doesn’t disrupt peace efforts in Africa.

Whilst a number of incidents are analyzed in this week’s monitor, thus far the data we have gathered does not indicate that the overall number of social unrest or violent conflict incidents in Africa have increased as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. If anything, the past month’s lockdown and social-distancing measures seem to have reduced the overall number of incidents. However, some of the measures taken to contain the pandemic have exposed existing fault lines and are increasing political tensions and heightening the risk for social unrest and violent conflict in the future.

ACCORD’s aim with the Monitor is to support the broader conflict resolution and peacebuilding community, including in particular ACCORD’s network of African practitioners. The Monitor tracks COVID-19 related conflict and resilience trends, with the objective of contributing to early warning analysis, and to inform our collective response strategies.

Managing Editor: COVID-19 Conflict & Resilience Monitor
Chief Editor: COVID-19 Conflict & Resilience Monitor​
REUTERS/Afolabi Sotunde
REUTERS/Afolabi Sotunde
Nina Wilen
Trust between Citizens & Institutions

The political and socio-economic consequences of COVID-19

  • Nina Wilén

REUTERS/Afolabi Sotunde
REUTERS/Afolabi Sotunde
Judith Mondo
Trust between Citizens & Institutions

Africa more resilient to manage COVID-19 than predicted

  • Judith Mondo

ACCORD COVID-19 Infographic
References: Datalab
Rumbidzaishe Matambo
Livelihood Insecurity & Economic Impact

The link between food (in)security, peace and stability and COVID-19

  • James Henry Murray
  • Rumbidzaishe Matambo

STR/AFP via Getty Images
Martin Rupiya
Criminal-related Incidents

COVID-19 containment measures: Opportunities for Africa?

  • Martin Revayi Rupiya

ACCORD COVID-19 Infographic
Cross-border / Inter-State tensions

How to ensure that coronavirus doesn’t stop peace efforts in Africa

  • Tarila Marclint Ebiede

ACCORD COVID-19 Infographic
References: AcledData
Political Unrest or Violence

The impact of COVID-19 on political tensions and conflict in Africa

  • Marisha Ramdeen

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